Will the Packers win the Super Bowl? Is there value betting that the Patriots won’t win the title? Let’s answer these Yes/No Super Bowl prop bets.

To determine if a prop bet has value, we compare the current odds at Sportsbook.ag to our projected chance based on 10,000 simulations of the NFL Playoffs.

Patriots win the Super Bowl

  • Yes: +140
  • No: -180

New England is the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl and the simulations pick as well. The Pats lift the Lombardi Trophy a league-high 50.5% of the time giving value to betting them at +140.

Steelers win the Super Bowl

  • Yes: +400
  • No: -600

Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown have an uphill battle to win the Super Bowl. A tough road test against the Patriots in the AFC title game would be followed by a matchup against two of the highest scoring offenses in the league. You have to bet $600 to win $100 that the Steelers won’t win the title but that is the right play.

Packers win the Super Bowl

  • Yes: +400
  • No: -600

Betting against Aaron Rodgers is scary. The Packers quarterback has thrown 24 touchdowns and just one interception in his last nine games. But Green Bay is a road underdog to Atlanta this week and the lookahead lines have the Cheeseheads as dogs to the winner of Patriots-Steelers. The Packers run ends without a Super Bowl.


NFL Playoffs 

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TeamYes OddsNo OddsProjected Chance to Win
Patriots+140-18050.5%
Falcons+260-36026.1%
Steelers+400-60012.6%
Packers+400-60010.8%