We know who the favorites are to win the Heisman but which players will be invited to New York as a finalist? There are at least three finalists invited in a given year, since 1982 the most common total of invitees has been five.
What do players need to do to get an invite? Looking at the last five years, here are the average statistics for a quarterback and running back finalist.
|Passing||Pass TDs||INTs||Rushing||Rush TDs||Receiving||Rec TDs|
These are gaudy numbers. A passer needs to throw for over 3,700 yards and 32 touchdowns while totaling nearly 1,000 yards on the ground and double-digit rushing touchdowns. For a running back to have a chance of an invite they need to rack up over 2,100 yards on the ground and 20+ rushing touchdowns. One additional requirement, they need to play for a great team. On average, each finalist was part of a program that won 11.6 games.
Which players are likely to meet these statistical milestones? If you believe the odds USC’s Sam Darnold is the most likely player to get an invite to New York. Other quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Baker Mayfield also have odds that suggest they’ll be finalists.
The 11 players with better than +500 odds to be finalist are also all +2000 or better to win the award. That’s not surprising. What is interesting is that since 2009, 81 players have had +2000 or better odds to win the Heisman and just 11 (13.6%) were invited to New York for the ceremony.
Not sure who will win (we don’t blame you, it is almost impossible)? This prop bet at 5Dimes allows you to bet whether a player will or will not get invited to the Heisman ceremony. Looking at the odds it appears that many of the best players at the top programs in the country have a good chance of getting an invite. History tells us otherwise.
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2017 Heisman Finalists Odds (5Dimes)
|Saquon Barkley||Penn State||+160||-210|
|JT Barrett||Ohio State||+210||-290|
|Deondre Francois||Florida State||+400||-600|
|Trace McSorley||Penn State||+575||-1125|
|Mason Rudolph||Oklahoma State||+585||-1155|
|Quinton Flowers||South Florida||+700||-1500|
|Luke Falk||Washington State||+775||-1625|
|Will Grier||West Virginia||+800||-1700|
|Mike Weber||Ohio State||+1075||-2225|