The Dodgers (83-34) have the best record in baseball. L.A. needs 34 more wins to make history. Will the Dodgers break the MLB win record?
Will Dodgers win 117 or more games (BetOnline)
- Yes +550
- No -900
Since the All-Star break, the Blue Crew is 21-5 and a ridiculous 48-9 since June 7th. The team is hot but will need to go 34-11 (.756) over the remainder of the season to break the all-time record.
The Dodgers are on pace for 115 wins. According to Baseball Prospectus the team will finish with 110.7 wins. FanGraphs sees them going 27-18 (.598) down the stretch, well below the .756 winning percentage needed to set a new record.
Analytics, pace, any number you look at suggests the Dodgers won’t break the record. The odds imply there is a 90% chance the team doesn’t get to 117 wins.
Of course, lefty-ace Clayton Kershaw hasn’t pitched since mid-July. The Cy Young winner is expected back by September. L.A. is 19-2 when he pitches. Kershaw could get four to five starts before the postseason, that might be enough to push the team over the top.
The Dodgers are the betting favorites (+190) to win the World Series and both FanGraphs (19.6%) and Baseball Prospectus (25.4%) project them as the most likely winners. There is a chance the NL West leader breaks the all-time win record but the Dodgers faithful would trade that for a World Series ring.
MLB Pro Systems +22.5 units in 2017
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