The Golden State Warriors routed the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers 126-91 on Monday night. Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson all scored 20+ points, Draymond Green recorded a triple-double and the Dubs outplayed the Cavs in every facet of the game.
Blowouts of this magnitude, by 30 or more points, are rare in the NBA. In the Bet Labs’ database only about 3% of games have a winning margin of this size. How do teams perform against-the-spread after routs?
Historically, teams that win by 20 or more points have gone 1093-1082 (50.3%) ATS. Teams that win by 30 or more points in the previous game have gone 231-239 (49.1%) ATS. Not great but if we look at just the Warriors and focus on the last three seasons, when Golden State ascended to the top of the league, something interesting occurs.
The Dubs crush after a big win. Since the 2014-15 season, the Warriors have won 52 games by more than 20 points. In the following contest Golden State has gone 37-14 ATS. The most profitable team in the NBA.
After games that Steve Kerr’s team has won by 30 or more points, the Warriors have gone 13-5 ATS. Once again, the most profitable team in the Association.
Golden State hosts Oklahoma City in their next game. At home after a rout the Warriors are 20-7 ATS. As a favorite after a rout (20+ points), the Dubs are 36-13 ATS.