Update: Will the Browns go 0-16?

CLEVELAND, OH - NOVEMBER 30:  Cleveland Browns fans look on during the first quarter against the Baltimore Ravens at FirstEnergy Stadium on November 30, 2015 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Update (11.16.16): The Browns have lost again. This weekend they host the Pittsburgh Steelers. If Cleveland falls they’ll be 0-11 for the first time in franchise history and the first time any team has lost eleven straight to start a season since the 2011 Colts.

An 0-16 season is becoming a real possibility. The only team to accomplish that sad feat is the 2008 Lions. To avoid ending up like Detroit, Cleveland will need to win one of its remaining six games.

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The team’s best chance comes in Week 14. The Browns will be coming off a bye at home against the Bengals. Cleveland has a 29.0% chance to beat Cincinnati.

Overall, there is a 24.3% chance the team goes 0-16. Up from 4.8% just a month ago.

Bookmaker Paddy Power is offering a prop bet on the Browns going winless. You can cash in on their misery at 7/4 odds if you believe 0-16 is a possibility. However, the implied odds suggest there is a 36.4% chance Cleveland remains defeated at the end of the season. So even in futility, there is no value betting the Browns.


Browns vs. Steelers

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Original (10.11.16)

That one tweet sums up the Browns’ quarterback situation and season.

Cleveland began the year with Robert Griffin III calling the plays but he suffered a shoulder injury in Week 1 that placed him on injured reserve. Journeyman Josh McCown took over the starting job but he also got shelved with a shoulder injury.

Rookie Cody Kessler was the next man up and looked competent in three starts before rib and chest injuries forced him from the game against the Patriots last week. Enter Clipboard Jesus. Charlie Whitehurst filled in for Kessler but was knocked out of the contest with a knee injury.

The Browns have subsequently cut Whitehurst and elevated rookie quarterback Kevin Hogan from the practice squad. At this time we do not know who will start Sunday against Tennessee. Whoever does play quarterback for Cleveland will be the 27th different starter for the Browns since 1999.

Cleveland is now 0-5 and a rebuilding season is spiraling out of control.

Will the Browns go 0-16?

After 10,000 simulations of the 2016 season, there is a 4.8% chance that Cleveland goes winless.

The probability of Hue Jackson’s squad losing every game this season is similar to the team’s chances of winning five games (7.6%), which is something the Browns have only managed to do twice in the last five years.

Cleveland’s failures are all too familiar. Since returning to Northeast Ohio in 1999, the Browns have only two winning seasons and one playoff appearance.

A return to the postseason is a ways off. Cleveland has dropped seven straight and 14 of 15 dating back to last season. An 0-16 season isn’t likely but it isn’t improbable either.

 

 

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