Context

Game 1 of the Warriors-Cavaliers trilogy begins Thursday. Cleveland is trying to repeat and Golden State is looking for its second title in three years. The Dubs have been dominant all season while the Cavs flipped the switch in the playoffs. Which team should you bet in Game 1 of the NBA Finals?

The Warriors have not played in ten days since sweeping the Spurs in the Western Conference finals. Do teams get rusty in the playoffs after long breaks? No. We have found that teams with extra days off perform even better against-the-spread, especially if they are at home. For those wondering, the Cavs are well rested too having a week between games. If you account for both teams being well rested, the team with home court advantage covers more than 60% of the time against-the-spread!

Trend

NBA Playoffs: Well Rested Home Teams

This Pro System has gone 88-54 (62.0%) ATS, +29.54 units all-time.

Our Pick

At the time of publication the majority of spread bets were on Cleveland to cover in Game 1. However, 57% of spread dollars are backing the Warriors as 7-point favorites. Bet Golden State, the well rested home team, in Game 1.


2017 NBA Playoffs

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