Context

No. 8 North Carolina (23-5, 11-3 ACC) will host No. 7 Louisville (22-5, 10-4 ACC) in a battle of top ten teams tonight. UNC averages 86.9 points per game (6th in the nation) and is top 5 in offensive efficiency while Louisville has one of the stingiest defenses in the ACC.

In a matchup that could determine which team gets a No. 1 seed, will Carolina or Louisville emerge victorious?

The Tar Heels are undefeated at home this season and have won 15 straight in Chapel Hill with only five games being decided by less than ten points. North Carolina has the better offense and is tops in college basketball in rebounding, which leads to second chance points.

The Pro System for this matchup is straightforward; take winning home teams in big conference games. The play for this top-10 showdown is on the North Carolina money-line.

Trend

Bet winning home teams in big conferences.

This Pro System has gone 1578-790 (66.6%) all-time has returned a profit of +98.6 units.

Our Pick

UNC is 64-6 straight-up under Roy Williams since 2006 in games at the Smith Center in which the Tar Heels are ranked in the AP top-10. Look for North Carolina to remain undefeated at home and in first place in the ACC. Bet UNC on the money-line.

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