Context

March Madness is the best time of year to bet against the public. Teams getting less than 40% of spread bets have gone 19-9 against-the-spread already in this year’s NCAA tournament.

One of the most anticipated games in the Sweet 16 is No. 2 Kentucky vs. No. 3 UCLA. Which side is the public on and what team should you fade?

Square bettors like to pick upsets in the Big Dance and they will gravitate toward trendy underdogs. UCLA was the 6th most popular pick to win the national championship in ESPN’s Tournament Challenge, ahead of Kentucky. In Friday’s Sweet 16 matchup the public is on UCLA, fade the Bruins and bet Kentucky to cover.

Trend

Fade trendy underdogs in the NCAA tournaments.

This Pro System has gone 95-63 (60.1%) all-time and has returned a profit of +26.94 units.

Our Pick

Nearly 70% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars are on the Bruins to upset the Wildcats. That is public money. Go against the squares and wager on Kentucky to cover as a small favorite (an underdog at some books).


2017 Sweet 16

There are 6 Pro System picks for the regional semifinals

Get them All!