Context

No. 12 Duke (20-5, 8-4 ACC) is set for a tough road test against No. 14 Virginia (18-6, 8-4 ACC). The Blue Devils have won five straight including two in a row against ranked opponents. The Cavaliers have the stingiest defense in the ACC.

With tournament implications, which squad will emerge victorious: Duke or Virginia?

This is a classic battle of offense vs. defense. Duke is third in the ACC in scoring averaging 81.9 points per game. UVA allows just 55.1 points per contest, tops in the nation, and is third in defensive efficiency. The Hoos can contain the Blue Devils and have enough scoring (16th in KenPom’s offensive efficiency) to win the game.

The Pro System for this matchup is simple; take winning home teams in big conference games. The play for this ACC showdown is on the Virginia money-line.

Trend

Bet winning home teams in big conferences.

This Pro System has gone 1567-780 (66.8%) all-time has returned a profit of 101.9 units.

Our Pick

We have all heard the old adage: defense wins championships. Tonight it should be good enough for UVA to top Coach K’s Dukies. Bet Virginia on the money-line.

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