Context

Football is back! The Edmonton Eskimos and the BC Lions meet Saturday in Canadian Football League action. This matchup features two of the favorites to win the 2017 Grey Cup. In a game that is expected to be high scoring, should you bet the OVER or UNDER?

There has been value (54.6% win rate) betting the UNDER in all CFL games since 2005. When the bookmakers set a high total (more than 50 points) the return on investment nearly doubles. Edmonton and BC were second and third respectively in scoring last year and will likely be near the top of the league once again in 2017. However, in this high scoring game there is value betting the UNDER.

Trend

CFL Home Faves Under

This betting system has gone 238-167 (58.8%) on the UNDER, +60.3 units since 2005.

Our Pick

I know football north of the border isn’t the same as the NFL but this is a great opportunity to start building your bankroll for this fall. No matter the league, bettors like cheering for points and the over. Be contrarian and bet the UNDER between two high scoring teams. For what it’s worth, the UNDER hit in both games these teams played against each other last year and were system matches.


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