Context

Pittsburgh will begin its 2017 season on the road in Cleveland. The Steelers are Super Bowl contenders and the Browns are vying to not be the worst team in the NFL. The Killer B’s opened as 9-point favorites over the downtrodden Browns.

Should you bet the team with title aspirations or the perennial cellar dweller?

A simple way to be contrarian in Week 1 is to bet non-playoff teams against squads that went to the postseason the year before. If the teams are from the same division this Pro System has covered +70% of the time.

Trend

Week 1 Non-Playoff vs. Playoff Team

This Pro System has gone 24-7 (77.4%) ATS, +15.3 units since 2005.

Our Pick

At the time of publication, more than 70% of spread bets were on Pittsburgh to cover. Cleveland won just one game last year and only covered the spread in four. The public does not like the Browns but there is value taking the home team plus the points.


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