Context

According to the American Gaming Association there will be $10.4 billion bet on the NCAA tournament. The public will wager most of that money. March Madness is the best time of the year to be contrarian.

On Thursday 5-seed Virginia and 12-seed NC Wilmington will meet in the First Round. Squares are betting one side, which team should you bet to be contrarian?

The 5-12 matchup is a favorite among bracket builders for potential upsets. The general public often bets teams they picked in their bracket. As such, NC Wilmington is getting more than 60% of the bets to cover as an underdog. The line has moved from -9 to -7.5 yet no bet signals were triggered meaning the public not sharp bettors caused the movement. Be contrarian, go against the public and lay the points with Virginia.

Trend

Fade teams the public is betting in the NCAA tournaments.

This Pro System has gone 65-41 (61.3%) ATS all-time and has returned a profit of +20.83 units.

Our Pick

Nearly 80% of the money wagered is on NC Wilmington to pull the upset on 5-seed UVA. That is public money, go against the squares and bet Virginia to cover as a favorite.


2017 NCAA Tournament

There are +30 Pro System picks for the First Round of the Big Dance

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