Trend of the Week: Washington vs. USC

Trend of the Week: Washington vs. USC

Context

Something has to give when undefeated Washington hosts red-hot USC. The Huskies are 9-0 for the first time since 1991 but the team has some doubters after being passed over by the selection committee in the initial rankings. After a slow start, USC is surging, winners of five games in a row (the most since 2013).

Saturday’s showdown is a litmus test for both squads. A win for Washington strengthens its case for a playoff berth and a victory for the Men of Troy confirms USC’s resurrection.

All eyes in college football will be on this matchup, which side should you bet?

There is a betting trend that focuses on average-to-good teams as road dogs in conference games that have just covered the spread at home. The thought process is simple, the good team will have confidence after a home win and is undervalued as a road dog in a conference game since both teams are familiar with each other.

USC fits this bill. Considering the Trojans were left for dead after a loss to Alabama at the beginning of the season, it is impressive the team has a chance to win the Pac-12 South and affect the College Football Playoff.

Trend

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Bet road underdogs in conference games after a cover at home.

This Pro System has gone 149-94 (61.3%) ATS, +47.7 units.

Our Pick

Since USC inserted freshmen quarterback Sam Darnold into the starting lineup, the offense has averaged 553.2 yards per game. The Trojans are one of two teams averaging more than 250 yards passing and 250 yards rushing per game since Darnold took over in Week 4.

Bet USC getting the points against Washington in Seattle on Saturday.

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