Trend of the Week: Patriots vs. Browns

Trend of the Week: Patriots vs. Browns


Bet bad teams that are big underdogs.


Tom Brady is back! The two-time MVP will start Sunday after serving a four game suspension for Deflategate. New England went 3-1 in Brady’s absence but is fresh off a shutout loss at home.

The Pats visit the winless Browns (0-4). Cleveland is likely to remain the only team without a win in the NFL. The Browns rank last in DVOA and are on the fast track for the top pick in next year’s draft.

This is a contrarian system. The public loves betting on the Patriots. With Brady’s return and Cleveland being the worst team in the league, all the action will be on the Pats. Go against the square bettors and take the bad team getting a lot of points.



In the last ten years, this system is 85-51 (62.5%) against-the-spread. Taking bad teams that are big underdogs has been highly profitable returning 29.07 units.

Current System Picks

New England opened as double-digit favorites on the road in Cleveland. All the money has been on the Patriots to cover. Take the Browns as home underdogs. Teams without a win have had success against Brady in the past.


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