Trend of the Week: Ohio State vs. Michigan

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Context

Welcome to rivalry week. The Game, one of college football’s most anticipated annual matchups, is finally here. No. 2 Ohio State hosts No. 3 Michigan with everything on the line in this must-win regular season finale.

If Michigan is victorious, the Wolverines clinch the Big Ten East. Then a win in the conference championship game would lock Jim Harbaugh’s bunch into the playoff. Ohio State needs a win and a Penn State loss to capture the East and play for the Big Ten title.

Ohio State has won four straight against Michigan and 11 of the last 12 meetings. The Buckeyes have had the Wolverines number lately but will they cover Saturday?

The Game is going to be the most bet matchup of the weekend in college football. That means there will be a lot of public money backing the favorite, Ohio State. This gives value to taking Michigan, plus the expectation is for a low scoring game with two offenses that have struggled as of late. Low scoring conference games favor the underdog. The Wolverines haven’t beat Ohio State often but they have a good chance to cover in this game.

Trend

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Take the underdog in heavily bet conference games.

This Pro System has gone 215-144 (59.9%) ATS, +60.6 units. There have been 15 plays generated by this system in 2016 and the picks have gone 10-5 (67%) ATS.

Our Pick

The Buckeyes are 6.5 point favorites against their hated rivals Michigan. Square bettors are going to pound Ohio State, go against the public and take the Wolverines plus the points.

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