Trend of the Week: Michigan vs. Michigan State

Just seconds away from winning, Michigan punter Blake O’Neill fumbled a snap, which was returned 38 yards for the winning score as time expired. Michigan State’s wild 27-23 victory last year was their seventh in the last eight meetings with the Wolverines. Jim Harbaugh’s team hasn’t forgotten about that game and will attempt to erase it from their memory when the teams square off on Saturday.

Michigan is 7-0 and ranked No. 2 in the country. The Wolverines are big road favorite with the nation’s top scoring defense (10.0 points/game) and third ranked scoring offense (48.7 points/game).

The Spartans are on a five game losing streak and have just two wins a year after going to the College Football Playoff. But this is a rivalry game, which means anything can happen. Michigan State is 8-3 against-the-spread vs. Michigan since 2005.

With such an intriguing matchup you will be tempted to bet a side.

However, the real play is on the under. The weather forecast calls for high winds in excess of 13 mph. These windy conditions force teams to run the ball leading to low scoring games.

Like many of our Pro Systems, this goes against the public. Square bettors love taking the over; it is more fun to cheer for points to be scored than hoping each team punts the ball.

With high winds and contrarian betting, take the under when Michigan and Michigan State play.

Trend

screen-shot-2016-10-25-at-2-34-49-pm

Bet the under in windy games.

screen-shot-2016-10-25-at-2-34-28-pm

This system has been profitable in ten of the last eleven years. Since 2005, taking the under in games with high winds has gone 420-310 (57.5%).

This Pro System is already 11-5 (68.8%) on the under in 2016, +5.33 units.

Our Pick

Michigan vs. Michigan State is an enticing matchup and one that is fun to bet. Instead of picking a side, bet the under. The game opened with a total of 56. The line has already come down to 54. Act quickly before all the value is gone.

Want more picks?

There are 39 more Pro System picks for Week 8 in the NFL and Week 9 in college football.

Unlock all systems with a 6-day trial

©2016 Sports Insights Inc.

Log in with your credentials

Forgot your details?