Context

The NFC North will be decided in a winner-take-all Week 17 showdown between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions. Both teams are 9-6 but Aaron Rodgers and the Pack are winners of five in a row while the Lions could finish the season on a three game losing streak.

It all comes down to Sunday night, one game to decide the division and make the playoffs.

Casual bettors remember few things like a blow out loss. The Lions had a lead and looked up for the challenge in the first half before Dallas scored 28 under answered points to win 42-21 on Monday night. Big losses can happen and there is no shame in losing to good teams. While square bettors will remember the blow out and fade the Lions in Week 17, be smart and take Detroit off a big loss to a good team.

Trend

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Bet teams coming off a big loss to good teams.

This Pro System has gone 103-59 (63.6%) ATS, +38.1 units.

Our Pick

The Lions are 3.5 point home underdogs to the Packers in Week 17. A win gets Detroit in the playoffs, as long as they don’t lose by more than a field goal we get a cover.

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There are 42 more Pro System picks for Week 17 in the NFL and for bowl games in college football.

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