Trend of the Week: Colts vs. Titans

Trend of the Week: Colts vs. Titans

Context

The Colts have won ten straight against division rival Tennessee and 15 of their last 16 meetings. Andrew Luck has never lost when facing the Titans. Of course this isn’t the same old Tennessee crew. Marcus Mariota and DeMarco Murray lead an offense that is surging. Tennessee has averaged an NFL-best 33.7 points over the last six games.

Can the Titans end their losing streak when they travel to Indy on Sunday or will the Colts come out on top once again? The winner will be in position to capture the AFC South crown.

A lot is on the line when these two clubs face off Sunday. Indy is favored at home but the play in this game is on the under. There is a Pro System that looks at late season divisional matchups with high totals.

The thought process is simple, there is usually value on the under in high total games, period. That advantage is then magnified in late season divisional contests, as these matchups often are the second time the teams have played each other. The familiarity with one another tends to favor lower scoring games.

Trend

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Bet the under in divisional games late in the season.

This Pro System has gone 135-79 (63.1%) under, +48.6 units.

Our Pick

Over 70% of the money is coming in on the over in the Indy vs. Tennessee game. However, the total has actually come down. This is an indication of reverse line movement. Go against the public and take the under in this late season divisional matchup.

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