Context

The AFC South might be a mess but it sure is entertaining. Three teams are tied atop the division. Indy and Houston meet Sunday in a pivotal matchup.

The Colts have won three of their last four and in the last three games that Andrew Luck has started Indy has averaged 32 points per game. Houston has dropped three straight and the offense has only scored more than two touchdowns once this season.

The AFC South is on the line, who will win and which team will cover?

At Bet Labs we are always looking for ways to innovate and give our users an edge in sports betting. That is why we have recently added SRS (Simple Rating System) as a filter. The SRS is a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.

Using a sub-filter of SRS called SRS Vegas Differential we have found another winning betting system. This Pro System looks for a difference between the team’s expected spread using the SRS model and the actual betting line. It also eliminates games the public is betting and teams that have covered or won at high rates. This system points to taking the Colts against the Texans in Sunday’s crucial AFC South matchup.

Trend

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Bet undervalued teams using the SRS Vegas Differential.

This Pro System has gone 293-213 (57.9%) ATS, +68.98 units.

Our Pick

The AFC South is not the most glamorous division but the Colts control their own destiny. Indy is favored to win and the SRS Vegas Differential expects a cover for Andrew Luck and crew.

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