Context

The Patriots looked impressive on Monday night in a win over Baltimore. Tom Brady has now thrown 11 touchdowns with one interception in games where star tight end Rob Gronkowski didn’t play.

Brady set another record on Monday night. He won his 100th game at home in just 116 tries. That’s the fewest games needed to reach 100 home wins in NFL history. Of course, Brady and the Patriots aren’t playing at home this weekend.

The future Hall of Fame quarterback is one of the best to ever toss the pigskin but his Kryptonite is playing in Denver. In his career, Brady is 2-7 straight-up in Mile High.

Will the Broncos best the Patriots or will Brady find the answer to winning in Denver?

One of the best strategies in sports betting is being contrarian. The public loves wagering on favorites and teams that win. This gives value to underdogs and teams coming off a loss. If you add one additional filter, teams getting less than 30% of spread bets, you’ve created a consistent winning betting system.

Trend

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Bet teams off a loss against the public.

This Pro System has gone 69-39 (63.9%) ATS, +26.19 units.

Our Pick

Denver is a home underdog off a loss and the public is all over the Patriots, which means there is value on the Broncos to cover.

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