The Heisman trophy will be awarded Saturday night to the most outstanding player in college football.

There is a minimum of three finalists at the ceremony in New York every year. If the voting is close additional players are invited. This year there are five players vying for the award including Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Baker Mayfield, Dede Westbrook and Jabrill Peppers.

With a crowded field is the Heisman up for grabs?

Lamar Jackson is a huge favorite to win the award. The Louisville quarterback became the second player in FBS history to pass for 3,000 yards and rush for 1,500 yards in the same season. Jackson also set the ACC single-season record with 51 touchdowns.

The Case Against Jackson

Louisville lost their last two games and the Cardinals failed to make the playoffs. Plus, in the two years that the College Football Playoff has been in existence, the Heisman winners have led their teams to the four-team tournament.

In addition, Deshaun Watson won the Davey O’Brien Award, which is awarded to the nation’s best quarterback. Watson joined BYU’s Ty Detmer, Florida’s Danny Wuerffel and Oklahoma’s Jason White as the only two-time winners of the O’Brien Award. Each of those three quarterbacks also won the Heisman in one of those seasons.

Finally, Nick Saban says he would vote for Deshaun Watson for the Heisman. When the king of college football speaks, everyone listens.

The Favorite wins the Heisman

Perhaps there is a feeling of uncertainty heading into Saturday’s award ceremony but history says the favorite wins the Heisman. Since 2009, per the odds available on SportsOddsHistory, the favorite going into the Heisman presentation has won the award every year.

We can make a case against the Louisville quarterback but the betting markets and history say Lamar Jackson will win the Heisman.

YearPlayerOddsFavorite to Win?
2015Derrick Henry-465Yes
2014Marcus Mariota-1500Yes
2013Jameis Winston-15000Yes
2012Johnny Manziel-1000Yes
2011Robert Griffin III-1000Yes
2010Cam Newton-450Yes
2009Mark Ingram-250Yes

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