There is no debate; the quarterback is the most important position in the NFL. Of the eight teams most likely to win Super Bowl 52, all have Pro Bowl signal-callers. For most teams the only way to find a franchise quarterback is through the draft. The first round is a crapshoot but it’s a team’s best chance to get a Pro Bowler.

It seems like every year a team finds a diamond in the rough, a quarterback taken after the first round that turns into a Pro Bowler. The Cowboys got Dak Prescott in the 4th last year, the Raiders selected Derek Carr in the 2nd Round of the 2014 draft and the Seahawks nabbed Russell Wilson in the 3rd Round in 2012. The truth, those are the exceptions to the rule. If a team wants to draft a Pro Bowler they better find them in the first round.

There have been 276 quarterbacks taken in the NFL Draft since 1994, when the draft was shortened to seven rounds. Here is the proof that teams are better off taking a quarterback in the first round if they want to find a Pro Bowler.

First Round

QBs drafted: 57

QBs with at least one Pro Bowl: 22

QBs with at least three Pro Bowls: 13

QBS with five or more Pro Bowls: 5

Second Round

QBs drafted: 25

QBs with at least one Pro Bowl: 5

QBs with at least three Pro Bowls: 2

QBS with five or more Pro Bowls: 1

Third Round

QBs drafted: 28

QBs with at least one Pro Bowl: 4

QBs with at least three Pro Bowls: 1

QBS with five or more Pro Bowls: 0

Fourth Round

QBs drafted: 36

QBs with at least one Pro Bowl: 3

QBs with at least three Pro Bowls: 0

QBS with five or more Pro Bowls: 0

Fifth Round

QBs drafted: 32

QBs with at least one Pro Bowl: 0

QBs with at least three Pro Bowls: 0

QBS with five or more Pro Bowls: 0

Sixth Round

QBs drafted: 49

QBs with at least one Pro Bowl: 5

QBs with at least three Pro Bowls: 2

QBS with five or more Pro Bowls: 1

Seventh Round

QBs drafted: 49

QBs with at least one Pro Bowl: 2

QBs with at least three Pro Bowls: 0

QBS with five or more Pro Bowls: 0

Of the quarterbacks taken in the first round, 38.6% earned at least one Pro Bowl nod. Not great but far better than any other round.

Percentage of Quarterbacks to go to Pro Bowl (by round)

  • 1 – 38.6%
  • 2 – 20.0%
  • 3 – 14.3%
  • 4 – 8.3%
  • 5 – 0.0%
  • 6 – 10.2%
  • 7 – 4.1%

It isn’t easy to find a franchise quarterback but if a team is going to get their quarterback of the future they will most likely draft them in the first round.


2017 NFL Season

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