Predicting NFL

Predicting the 2017 NFL Season: Pythagorean Wins

by John Ewing • July 5, 2017

We have simulated the 2017 NFL season 10,000 times to determine the division winners, playoff participants and the most likely Super Bowl champion. How do our projections compare to three stats (Pythagorean wins, record in close games and turnover differential) that can be useful in predicting which teams will improve and decline this fall? Let’s […]


Turnover Differential

by John Ewing • July 5, 2016

The NFL is still on vacation and will be until late July when training camps start. To help you through this football-less world we will look at three stats (Pythagorean wins, record in close games and turnover differential) that can be useful in predicting which teams will improve and decline this fall. We have covered […]


NFL Record in Close Games

by John Ewing • June 27, 2016

The NFL is still on vacation and will be until late July when training camps start. To help you through this football-less world we will look at three stats (Pythagorean wins, record in close games and turnover differential) that can be useful in predicting which teams will improve and decline this fall. Last week we […]


Predicting the 2016 NFL Season: Pythagorean Wins

by John Ewing • June 20, 2016

Where has all the football gone? The NFL is on vacation and will be for roughly six weeks from the last day of minicamp to the start of training camp in late July. To help you through this football-less world we will look at three stats (Pythagorean wins, record in close games and turnover differential) […]