New England Patriots

NFL Playoff Simulations Show Easy Path for Patriots to Super Bowl

by John Ewing • January 8, 2018

Wild-Card Weekend is in the books. The league’s eight best (more or less) teams are three wins away from a championship. Which one is the most likely to hoist the Lombardi Trophy? We simulated the postseason 10,000 times using player and team statistics adjusted for strength of schedule to determine the most likely Super Bowl winner. […]


Patriots are Super Bowl favorites, but a surprise team offers value

by John Ewing • December 27, 2017

The latest Super Bowl odds are out and the New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings are the favorites. With the postseason a week away, do any of these teams offer value to win the championship? No, in fact the Pats, +200 favorites to repeat (BetOnline), are the worst bet on the board. According […]


Week 16 NFL Trends: Seahawks Undervalued After Blowout Loss to Rams?

by John Ewing • December 19, 2017

We know you are busy with last-minute holiday shopping but Week 16 is must-watch with games that will have a meaningful impact on the playoff picture. To get you ready for another NFL weekend, here are some trends to know: There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to […]


Week 15 NFL Trends: A Patriots Sample Size Error

by John Ewing • December 12, 2017

It’s Week 15 and the slate is chock-full of must-watch games including Patriots-Steelers and Seahawks-Rams. To get you ready for another NFL weekend here are some trends to know. There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting […]


The Patriots are a better ATS team without Gronk

by John Ewing • December 5, 2017

The NFL has suspended New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski for a late hit on Buffalo Bills corner Tre’Davious White. When news broke of the one-game suspension on Monday, the Week 14 line for Patriots-Dolphins moved from New England -12 to -11. The one point line move is a bit of an overreaction. Previous […]


Week 13 NFL Trends: Can bettors trust the Patriots on the road?

by John Ewing • November 28, 2017

There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information, you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems. Each week we will provide a betting trend for the most interesting NFL games. Some trends will be team […]


Week 12 NFL Trends: Buying low on the Chiefs

by John Ewing • November 21, 2017

There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information, you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems. Each week we will provide a betting trend for the most interesting NFL games. Some trends will be team […]


2017 NFL Week 6 Trends

by John Ewing • October 10, 2017

There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information, you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems. Each week we will provide a betting trend for the most interesting NFL games. Some trends will be team […]


2017 NFL Simulations (Week 4 Update)

by John Ewing • October 3, 2017

Raise your hand if you projected the Patriots and Jets to have the same record after four games. No one? At the quarter point in the season the standings look strange. The Bills, Jags, Lions, Panthers and Rams are all surprisingly at the top of their respective divisions. It is important to not overreact to […]


2017 NFL Simulations (Week 2 Update)

by John Ewing • September 19, 2017

What did we learn in Week 2 of the NFL? The Patriots bounced back (the Brady/Belichick era isn’t over), the Falcons look ready to make another run at the Super Bowl, Blake Bortles (3 turnovers) is bad, Derek Carr (3 TDs) is good, and two of last year’s best teams (Seattle and Dallas) are struggling. […]