NBA betting strategy

How to Fade the Public Using Spread Dollars in the NBA

by John Ewing • December 12, 2017

Fading square bettors is a profitable NBA strategy. Why does this work? Oddsmakers know which teams recreational gamblers will wager on, usually the league’s best (Warriors, Cavs, Spurs, Celtics) and favorites, and shade the lines toward them. When we talk about betting against the public we are often referring to the spread ticket percentage but […]


Celtics best ATS team EVER (through 14 games), time to fade Boston?

by John Ewing • November 13, 2017

Update: 11/14/17 Boston opened as 7-point favorites at Brooklyn, more than 70% of spread bets are on the Celtics. Fade Brad Stevens’ team. Despite injuries (Gordon Hayward – ankle, Kyrie Irving – facial fracture, Al Horford – concussion) and a young roster, the Celtics extended their winning streak to 12 games with a 95-94 win […]


Can bettors trust big NBA favorites early in the season?

by John Ewing • October 19, 2017

Night three in the 2017-18 NBA season features two games with big favorites. The Toronto Raptors are 12.5-point favorites at home against the Chicago Bulls (lowest win total in the league) and the Oklahoma City Thunder, in Carmelo Anthony’s first game against his old team, are 12-point favorites over the New York Knicks. Clearly, the […]


Let’s Bet the NBA Preseason

by John Ewing • October 6, 2017

Real basketball is almost here. The 2017-18 NBA season starts on October 17th but before the games really count we got the preseason. A novice bettor would think nothing of these warm-up games but season handicappers know this is another opportunity to profit. Let’s bet the NBA preseason and to start we will focus on […]