MLB Betting Trends
Trend of the Week: Cubs vs. Reds
Context Game three of a four-game set between the Chicago Cubs (62-56) and the Cincinnati Reds (50-70) is scheduled for Wednesday night. This is an important series for the defending champions who are looking to pull away in the NL Central. Yet off a loss to a team 20 games below .500 can the Cubbies […]
Should bettors fade profitable MLB teams in the 2nd Half of the season?
The Brewers, Astros, Rockies and Diamondbacks were the most profitable moneyline teams in the 1st half of the season. One series after the All-Star break the teams combined to go 5-7, -3.46 units. Should bettors fade profitable MLB teams in the 2nd Half of the season? To find out I compared first half and second […]
Bet favorites against bad teams after the All-Star break
Since 2005 there has been value betting underdogs in baseball. Many of our Pro Systems are built on betting moneyline dogs. However, there is one day a year where favorites shine. In the first game after the All-Star break favorites have been profitable. There are a couple explanations for why favorites would succeed in the […]
Trend of the Week: Cubs at Orioles
Context The Chicago Cubs (43-45) will begin the second half on the road against the Baltimore Orioles (42-46). Both clubs are in need of a fast start after the All-Star break if they are to contend for their respective divisions down the stretch. When baseball resumes Friday, where is the value in the Orioles vs. […]
2017 1st Half MLB Betting Recap
The All-Star break is the unofficial midway point of the baseball season. After an exciting first half, here is a betting recap of the 2017 MLB season. Betting Trends ML Underdogs: 584-742, +7.63 units Underdogs are historically profitable and are the building block of many Pro Systems Over: 646-612, +6.38 units Teams have hit 3,343 […]
Trend of the Week: Indians vs. Dodgers
Context The Los Angeles Dodgers (40-25) are on a five game winning streak that has propelled them to the top of the NL West. The Cleveland Indians (31-30) continue to play like a .500 team a year after winning the AL pennant. The Dodgers are looking for the series win tonight and will send Brandon […]
Trend of the Week: Diamondbacks vs. Padres
Context The Arizona Diamondbacks won the first game of the series against the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night 10-2. The Dbacks will send ace Zack Greinke (7-3, 3.06 ERA) to the mound tonight against Luis Perdomo (0-2, 5.01 ERA). Arizona is ten games over .500, while San Diego is already buried in the NL West. […]
Are teams that lose the first game of a doubleheader more likely to win the second game?
In a recent Bet Labs hangout a user theorized that teams after a loss in the first game of a doubleheader would be more likely to win the second game. The reasoning was simple. Teams after a loss would be more motivated and the team that won might be more inclined to rest starters if […]
Trend of the Week: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks
Context In a battle of first place teams, the Nationals will host the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. Washington has scored 173 runs to start the season, the most in baseball. Arizona has tallied the second most runs (147) after one month. The total for this game opened at 8 runs. With two high scoring teams, should […]
Is the OVER a bad bet after an offensive explosion?
The Washington Nationals had themselves a day against the New York Mets on Sunday. Third baseman Anthony Rendon had three home runs, six hits and ten RBIs. Seven players had a multi-hit game and four had home runs as the Nats crushed the Mets 23-5. The game went over the total (7.5) in the top […]