Week 1 of the 2017 season concludes with a Monday night doubleheader. First the high-powered Saints offense travels to Minnesota to take on the stout defense of the Vikings. Then in the nightcap, the Chargers head to Mile High for a division showdown with the Broncos. Will you be watching? Of course, and you might even place a wager. If so, here is a simple strategy for betting Monday Night Football.
To start, in primetime games, the favorite has been undervalued by bettors.
This trend will be our starting point. Small favorites (3 to 7 points) in primetime games have gone 199-159 (55.6%) ATS. Minnesota and Denver are each 3-point favorites in their season opener.
If the game is expected to be high scoring the win rate improves.
Small favorites (3 to 7 points) in high scoring games (45 or more points) have gone 97-64 (60.2%), +28.17 units in primetime games.
Every time a Drew Brees led offense takes the field points will be scored. The total for the Saints/Vikings game opened 48 and a majority of bets are on the Over. With the game expected to be high scoring and the Vikings small favorites, there is value betting Minnesota at home.
Unfortunately, the Broncos/Chargers game falls out of this system. That’s ok, we got an actual Pro System pick for the late game on Monday night.
Broncos vs. Chargers
This Pro System is +64.5 units since 2005