The long wait is over. Football is back. The NFL season kicks off Thursday with the New England Patriots hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. Before you place that first bet here are our most profitable NFL betting systems.
Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season
Bad teams are almost always undervalued by the public. So are underdogs and road teams. Combine all three and you get a Pro System that is 428-343 (55.5%) ATS, +64.6 units since 2005.
Current Pick: Jaguars (+5) at Texans
This divisional matchup features two run-heavy teams with strong defenses and bad quarterbacks. These teams are evenly matchup, which means you should take the points. Bonus, this game could be played outside of Houston due to the extreme flooding, which would give even more value to Jacksonville.
Getting 2 Points from Opener in Primetime
Primetime games are the most watched and most bet in football. This system takes advantage of these high-profile games when there is big line movement. If the line moves significantly, there is value buying back against the public. This Pro System is 56-33 (62.9%) ATS, +20.02 units.
Current Pick: Cowboys (-3.5) vs. Giants
The Ezekiel Elliott suspension (pending) has cast doubt in bettor’s minds about the future of the Dallas Cowboys. At time of publication, more than 70% of spread bets are on New York causing the line to move. Take the Cowboys at a better price, non-quarterbacks should have little to no impact on the spread.
Week 1 Non-Playoff Team vs. Playoff Team
What is a simple way to be contrarian in Week 1? Bet non-playoff teams against squads that went to the postseason the year before. This Pro System is 24-7 against-the-spread since 2005, +15.3 units.
Current Pick: Browns (+8) vs. Steelers
Cleveland is bad and Pittsburgh is expected to contend for the Super Bowl. We don’t need the Browns to win, just to cover. Getting more than touchdown at home is too many points, even for a team that went 4-12 ATS in 2016.