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Archived articles

NFL Playoff Simulations Show Easy Path for Patriots to Super Bowl

by John Ewing • January 8, 2018

Wild-Card Weekend is in the books. The league’s eight best (more or less) teams are three wins away from a championship. Which one is the most likely to hoist the Lombardi Trophy? We simulated the postseason 10,000 times using player and team statistics adjusted for strength of schedule to determine the most likely Super Bowl winner. […]

Leveraging Simulations to Uncover Wild Card Prop Betting Opportunities

by John Ewing • January 5, 2018

Are you betting this Wild Card Weekend? Of course, let’s count the ways: straight-up, against the spread, over/under, and don’t forget about prop bets. Here are a few from that we’ve provided a lean for based on our NFL Playoff simulations and Bet Labs database. How many Wild Card Teams will win Wild Card […]

NFL Refs Bettors Need to Know for Wild Card Weekend

by John Ewing • January 4, 2018

In preparation for Wild Card Weekend you’ve analyzed the lines, evaluated the teams on the field, adjusted for injuries and considered the impact weather may have on the games. At any point, did you stop to think about the refs? You know, the guys with the whistle. Jeff Triplette, Ed Hochuli, John Hussey and Tony […]

Should Bettors Be Nervous About Surprise Teams That Make the NFL Playoffs?

by John Ewing • January 3, 2018

The Los Angeles Rams and Jacksonville Jaguars are two of the biggest surprise teams of 2017. A year ago, the Rams ended their first season back in L.A. with a 4-12 record that included seven straight losses once they turned the ball over to top overall pick Jared Goff. In Jacksonville, the Jags finished 2016 […]