There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems.
Each week we will provide a betting trend for every NFL game. Some trends will be team specific and others situational. Our database goes back to 2003, the trends include all games in that time frame unless otherwise mentioned.
Titans (-3) vs. Jaguars
A Thursday night stinker featuring two perennial bottom-feeders in the AFC South, how did we get so lucky? This game isn’t sexy. However, for both the Titans and Jags the game is key if either is to make a serious run at the division crown.
This Pro System trend has gone 413-331 (55.5%) ATS, +62.6 units.
Colts vs. Chiefs (-2.5)
Kansas City is the better team. The Chiefs have a balanced offense led by running back Spencer Ware. KC should have success against a Colts defense that has struggled all year. However, it would be silly to count Andrew Luck out, especially as an underdog.
Buccaneers (-1) vs. Raiders
Tampa Bay racked up almost 250 rushing yards last week against San Francisco. The Bucs will try to pound the ball against Oakland this week as well; the Raiders are allowing 128.3 yards per game (28th in the NFL). A success running game could change Winston’s fortunes at home.
Bengals (-3) vs. Redskins
This is the first trip for either team to London. Cincy is looking to get back to .500 while the Redskins try to keep pace in the NFC East.
If you are getting up early to watch this game you might as well wager on it.
Here is a Pro System that is 68-38 (64.2%) ATS, +26.3 units.
Saints vs. Seahawks (-3)
This is the first trip for Russell Wilson to New Orleans. The Seahawks and Saints have played twice since Wilson entered the league with Seattle winning both games. Drew Brees and the Saints aren’t home dogs very often but when they are the team covers.
Texans (-3) vs. Lions
Brock Osweiler has been a disappointment since signing with the Texans as a free agent. The quarterback (22-of-41 for 131 and no touchdowns) was a non-factor in Houston’s 27-9 loss to Denver on Monday night. Detroit has won three in a row, bettors continue to sleep on the Lions
Browns vs. Jets (no line)
Ryan Fitzpatrick is back under center for the Jets after Geno Smith tore his ACL in last week’s win. The Browns quarterback situation remains unclear, as it has all season. Rookie Cody Kessler could start if he clears the concussion protocol or it could be fellow first year player Kevin Hogan.
Bills vs. Patriots (-6.5)
Buffalo took the first game between these two teams earlier in the season. Of course that was without Tom Brady playing. Bill Belichick has never been swept by the Bills in the regular season.
Panthers (-2.5) vs. Cardinals
These are two of the most disappointing teams in the league. Carolina’s season may have already been lost after an ugly 1-5 start. The Cardinals are coming off a tie but still in contention for the NFC West title. Will Arizona right the ship or will Bruce Arians’ squad get blasted like they did in the playoffs last year?
Broncos (-6) vs. Chargers
The Chargers were left for dead after a 1-4 start. Two wins later and San Diego is back in the playoff conversation. Philip Rivers has been impressive ranking in the top ten in passing yards and touchdowns. It will be tough sledding against the Denver defense but that is nothing new.
Want action on this game?
We got a Pro System trend that is 413-331 (55.5%) ATS, +62.6 units.
Falcons (-2.5) vs. Packers
This could be a potential playoff preview. Both teams have something to prove. Atlanta has lost two in a row after starting the season hot and the Packers have been inconsistent on offense.
Cowboys (-4) vs. Eagles
This game is for first place in the NFC East. The Cowboys are coming off a bye and Philly just handed Minnesota its first loss of the season by forcing four turnovers. Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz have been impressive as rookies. This should be a fun game to watch.
Bears vs. Vikings (-5.5)
Who is starting for the Bears, Jay Cutler or Matt Barkley? Can Sam Bradford protect the ball after three giveaways last week against the Eagles? We will get answers to all these questions on Monday night.
This game features a Pro System trend: 139-82 (62.9%) ATS, +49.8 units.
Make Monday night more interesting.