There is incredible power in understanding how teams, players, leagues and markets have reacted to various scenarios. Using Bet Labs massive database of proprietary sports betting information you can easily build and explore data-driven betting systems.

Each week we will provide a betting trend for every NFL game. Some trends will be team specific and others situational. Our database goes back to 2003, the trends include all games in that time frame unless otherwise mentioned.

New England Patriots

Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are heading to their record seventh Super Bowl. The Patriots are looking to win a fifth Lombardi Trophy and a second in three seasons. The Pats are 3 point favorites.

  • Tom Brady is 7-0 straight-up and ATS in games played in Texas
  • Brady is 4-2 straight-up in Super Bowls (2-4 ATS)
  • A favorite of 3 or more points hasn’t won and covered in the Super Bowl since 2011
  • As a favorite against NFC teams, Brady is 28-21 ATS
  • Brady is 2-0 straight-up and ATS vs. Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons

This is Atlanta’s second Super Bowl appearance. With the presumed MVP in Matt Ryan and an improving defense (allowed 19.3 points in last six games) the Falcons have a chance to win the franchise’s first ever Lombardi Trophy. Atlanta is a 3 point underdog getting less than 40% of the bets to cover.

  • Matt Ryan is 35-22 ATS when getting <50% of the bets
  • Teams that average more than 30 points per game have gone 1-4 ATS in the Super Bowl
  • Teams that won their previous playoff game by 20 or more points went 18-23 ATS in next game
  • Matt Ryan is 1-2 straight-up and ATS in games played in Texas
  • Underdogs have won the Super Bowl outright in 5 of the last 7 years
  • After two wins this season, Matt Ryan is no longer the least profitable postseason quarterback (2-5 ATS)

Total: 58.5

This is the largest Super Bowl total in our database. This is the second largest playoff total behind last week’s NFC title game (59.5).

  • The OVER is 4-4 in playoff games with totals of 55 or more points.

Super Bowl 51 is two weeks away

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