NFL Playoff Chances

NFL Playoff Chances

NFL training camps have started. We are now three weeks away from the first preseason game. With the NFL season quickly approaching we got you covered on everything you need to know before the first kickoff. Yesterday we looked at the 2016 NFL Strength of Schedule and coming soon we will produce divisional previews. In the meantime, lets talk playoff chances.

According to bookmaker BovadaLV, the most likely playoff participants are the Green Bay Packers, New England Patriots, Seattle Seahawks. Each team is -500 to make the playoffs. The implied odds say these teams have an 83.3 percent chance to reach the postseason.

The least likely playoff teams are the Cleveland Browns (+600) and San Francisco 49ers (+750). Both squads are in the top ten in hardest schedules next season and according to the oddsmakers, it doesn’t matter who starts at quarterback for them. The implied odds suggest these teams have a 14 percent or less chance of playing past the regular season.

According to the odds, here are the most likely AFC and NFC playoff teams:

NFL Playoff Chances

Last year the Houston Texans and Washington Redskins made the playoffs, this year (per the odds) the Indianapolis Colts and Dallas Cowboys take their spots.

How predictive are these odds? We will have to wait until the end of the regular season to find out but we can compare them to other preseason predictions. The fine folks at Football Outsiders released their DVOA Playoff Odds report last week. Comparing the betting odds to Football Outsiders projected probabilities there are only minor discrepancies. The NFC is exactly the same but instead of Indy and Denver, Baltimore and Buffalo round out the AFC players in the postseason.

We know parity if king in the NFL. Since 2010, the playoffs have averaged 4.8 new teams each season. Don’t let the odds fool you, there will likely be a few other teams joining the Texans and Redskins on the outside looking in.

Who’s in, who’s out? Care to place a bet?

TeamMake PlayoffsMiss Playoffs
Arizona Cardinals-200+160
Atlanta Falcons+200-250
Baltimore Ravens+125-155
Buffalo Bills+200-260
Carolina Panthers-450+325
Chicago Bears+275-350
Cincinnati Bengals-160+130
Cleveland Browns+600-1000
Dallas Cowboys-140+110
Denver Broncos-150+120
Detroit Lions+275-350
Green Bay Packers-500+350
Houston Texans-135+105
Indianapolis Colts-160+130
Jacksonville Jaguars+175-215
Kansas City Chiefs-150+120
Los Angeles Rams+300-400
Miami Dolphins+225-150
Minnesota Vikings-200+160
New England Patriots-500+350
New Orleans Saints+250-325
New York GiantsEven-130
New York Jets+200-260
Oakland Raiders+110-140
Philadelphia Eagles+220-275
Pittsburgh Steelers-300+240
San Diego Chargers+350-500
San Francisco 49ers+750-1500
Seattle Seahawks-500+350
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+300-400
Tennessee Titans+400-600
Washington Redskins +160-200

©2016 Sports Insights Inc.

Log in with your credentials

Forgot your details?