It is almost bowl season, which means the turnover among college football coaches is nearing an end. The coaching carousel saw Jimbo Fisher leave Florida State for Texas A&M (and $75 million), Dan Mullen move from the SEC West to the SEC East to become the big gator at Florida and welcomed Chip Kelly back into our lives.

Before a new era begins for these programs, there is one more game to be played. Defensive tackles coach Odell Haggins will wear the interim tag when the Noles play Southern Miss, Greg Knox will fill in for Mullen and Jedd Fisch, who coached UCLA to a win in its last regular season game to become bowl eligible, will keep Kelly’s seat warm for one more game.

Coaching is a tough job, coaching under the interim tag, which implies temporary, is even harder. Will there be a drop in performance or will teams rally around their one-and-done coach? More importantly, what does this mean for bettors?

To analyze the impact these coaching changes have on bowl games, we compiled a list of every interim head coach that coached a bowl game since 2005. Thanks to Dave Congrove at for the assist on tracking the coaching changes.

There have been 54 bowl games with an interim coach since 2005. In those games, the replacement coaches are 26-28 straight-up and 24-29-1 (45.3%) ATS. There isn’t much of an edge to bet or fade these teams, but what if we look at the results by favorites and underdogs?

Favorites are 19-10 straight-up and 14-14-1 ATS while underdogs are 7-18 straight-up and 10-15 ATS. It is a small sample and not something we’d recommend solely using as a betting system but interim coaches that are expected to lose have underperformed.

In all bowl games not coached by an interim, underdogs are 209-183-6 (53.3%) ATS. If a team is an underdog they likely have inferior talent and a coaching change only exacerbates the team’s disadvantages. Based on the data, there could be an edge fading underdogs in bowl games with interim coaches.

Of course, smart bettors will follow our Pro Systems for bowl season. Combined, these betting strategies are 176-88-4 (66.7%) ATS since 2005. A $100 bettor would have returned a profit of $7,919 by playing these picks. Unlock all the plays for bowl season.

Here is each bowl game in our sample and the betting results. If we missed a game let us know.

SeasonInterim CoachTeamSpreadWinCover
2016Nick HoltWestern Kentucky-7YesYes
2016Ed FoleyTemple-10.5NoNo
2016T.J. WeistSouth Florida-10YesNo
2015Brian McClendonGeorgia-6YesYes
2015Dell McGreeGeorgia Southern4.5YesYes
2015Brian WardBowling Green-4.5NoNo
2015Larry ScottMiami FL1.5NoNo
2015Darrell DickeyMemphis3NoNo
2014Barney CottonNebraska7NoYes
2014DJ DurkinFlorida-6.5YesYes
2014David GibbsHouston5.5YesYes
2014Barry AlvarezWisconsin6YesYes
2014Joe RudolphPitt-5.5NoNo
2014Doug BaldwinColorado State3NoNo
2013Clay HeltonUSC-4.5YesYes
2013Marques TuiasosopoWashington-4.5YesYes
2013John ThompsonArkansas State6.5YesYes
2013Adam ScheierBowling Green-7NoNo
2013Bob GregoryBoise State4NoNo
2012Steve StriplingCincinnati-9YesYes
2012Kent BaerSan Jose State-7YesYes
2012John ThompsonArkansas State-3YesYes
2012Lance GuidryWestern Kentucky-6NoNo
2012Barry AlvarezWisconsin4NoNo
2012Dana BibleNC State7.5NoNo
2012Patrick HigginsPurdue14NoNo
2012Rod CareyNorthern Illinois14.5NoNo
2012Chris ThomsenTexas Tech-13YesNo
2011Tim DeRuyterTexas A&M-9.5YesYes
2011Vic KoenningIllinois-3YesYes
2011Tony LevineHouston5.5YesYes
2011Keith PattersonPitt-3.5NoNo
2011David GunnArkansas State-1.5NoNo
2011Mike JohnsonUCLA3NoNo
2011Tom BradleyPenn State5.5NoNo
2011Matt CampbellToledo-3YesNo
2010Phil BennettPitt-4.5YesYes
2010Tom MatukewiczNorthern Illinois-1.5YesYes
2010Lance GuidryMiami Ohio1.5YesYes
2010Jeff StoutlandMiami FL-2.5NoNo
2009Ruffin McNeillTexas Tech-9.5YesYes
2009Steve StriplingCentral Michigan-3YesPush
2009Rick MinterOhio-3NoNo
2009Jeff QuinnCincinnati12NoNo
2007Dewayne WalkerUCLA6NoYes
2007Bill StewartWest Virginia8YesYes
2007Jon TenutaGeorgia Tech-5.5NoNo
2007Reggie HerringArkansas3.5NoNo
2007Gary Darnel Texas A&M5NoNo
2007Chris ThurmondHouston6.5NoNo
2006Jeff QuinnCentral Michigan-8.5YesYes
2006Joe KinesAlabama1.5NoNo
2006Frank SpazianiBoston College-7.5YesNo
2005Mike HankwitzColorado10.5NoYes