Before the season began, sportsbook Paddy Power offered odds on whether each team would make or miss the playoffs. Based on these odds, which NBA teams have surprised/disappointed at the All-Star break?

Using the “make playoff” lines we got the following projected postseason:

SeedEastWest
1ClevelandGolden State
2BostonSan Antonio
3TorontoLA Clippers
4IndianaUtah
5DetroitMemphis
6AtlantaPortland
7WashingtonOKC
8CharlotteHouston

If the playoffs started today, all of the Eastern conference teams that were projected to play past the 82nd game of the season would except for Charlotte. The Hornets are 8 games under .500 but just three games back of the 8th seed. Another team to disappoint in the East is the Knicks. New York’s “Super Team” had the 9th best odds among Eastern conference teams to make the playoffs and is ten games under .500.

Philly has been a fun team to watch this season. The Sixers are the most profitable ATS team and have an outside chance of crashing the playoff picture. FiveThirtyEight.com gives the 76ers just a 1% chance to reaching the postseason but for anyone that bet $2,500 to win $100 that the team would miss the playoffs for a fifth straight year is sweating a little.


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Out West, seven of the eight most likely playoffs teams would be in the postseason today. The lone exception, Portland (-225) has a 23-33 record and is currently 9th. The biggest surprise is the Rockets. Houston was projected to be the 8th seed but an MVP caliber season from James Harden has the Rockets pushing the Warriors and Spurs for the top seed in the conference. Denver was +190 to make the playoffs before the season began and would be the biggest longshot to come through for bettors if they hold onto the 8th seed.

TeamYesNoPlayoffs?
Atlanta-250175Yes
Boston-100003300Yes
Brooklyn3300-6600No
Charlotte-140100No
Chicago110-150Yes
ClevelandN/A4000Yes
Dallas110-150No
Denver190-275Yes
Detroit-275190Yes
Golden StateN/A4000Yes
Houston-140100Yes
Indiana-330220Yes
LA Clippers-2500850Yes
LA Lakers3300-10000No
Memphis-250175Yes
Miami175-250No
Milwaukee140-190No
Minnesota100-140No
New Orleans175-250No
New York100-140No
Oklahoma City-200150Yes
Orlando140-190No
Philadelphia850-2500No
Phoenix700-1800No
Portland-225160No
Sacramento400-700No
San Antonio-100003300Yes
Toronto-2500850Yes
Utah-350225Yes
Washington-150110Yes