The NBA has a full slate of games scheduled in honor of Martin Luther King Day. LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers will battle Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors in a rematch of last year’s NBA Finals. With games tipping at 1pm ET, are there any worthwhile betting trends?
Home teams on MLK Day have gone 63-69 ATS since 2004. That is a win rate of 47.7%, lower than the historical winning percentage for home teams of 49.1%.
The teams favored on the national holiday have gone 65-67 ATS, 49.2%. That is in line with how favorites typically perform against-the-spread (49.9%).
Betting Against the Public
Contrarian approaches to betting are often the most profitable. However, betting against the public (teams getting <50% of the wagers) has gone 63-69 (47.7%) ATS on MLK Day.
The Over is 65-61, 51.6% win rate. The Over in all NBA games has hit at 49.8%, so on MLK Day the Over slightly outperforms expectations.
There are no generic betting trends worth wagering on. That is why we are giving out a free Pro System pick.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
The Pro System is called “Back to Back, Home after Away” and the play is on the Sixers +7 points. This system has over a 1,000 game sample size and has a win rate of 55% ATS, +80.4 units.
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