NBA Betting Review 11.10.16

OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 07:  Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after making a three-pointer against the New Orleans Pelicans at ORACLE Arena on November 7, 2016 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

The NBA season continues, here is a recap of all the betting action.

Betting Trends (11/3 to 11/9)

  • Favorites went 26-26 (50.0%) ATS
  • Home teams went 28-24 (53.8%) ATS
  • Overs went 26-26 (50.0%)
  • Teams that made playoffs last year: 25-29 (46.3%) ATS
  • Betting against the public (<50% of tickets): 28-25 (52.8%) ATS

Biggest Money-line Upsets

Lakers (+638) vs. Warriors

The expressions say it all; Golden State was stunned by the Lakers 117-97 last Friday. Young Hollywood ended Stephen Curry’s NBA record of 157 games with a 3-pointer. L.A. is playing .500 ball, that could be enough to make the playoffs as the 8th seed.

Rockets (+365) vs. Spurs

James Harden recorded his first triple-double of the season in a 101-99 upset of San Antonio. The Spurs have now dropped three straight at home, its longest losing streak since 2014. The Rockets are tied for first place in the Southwest Division.

Hawks (+305) vs. Cavaliers

Dennis Schroder was clutch against the Cavs. The Hawks point guard scored a career-high 28 points helping Atlanta hand Cleveland its first loss of the season. The Hawks had lost 11 straight to Cleveland before the win on Tuesday night.

Stephen Curry 3 Point Record

The two-time reigning MVP added another record to his collection. On Monday night, against the Pelicans, Curry made 13 three pointers, the most ever in one game. Curry was wildly efficient from behind the arc sinking 13 of 17 shots.

Trend Highlight – Home Team off Poor Offensive Game

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This is a contrarian system. The public tends to fade teams after poor offensive showings. This is especially true when it comes to betting over/unders. However, going against the grain has been profitable as this Pro System is 160-98 (62.0%) when betting the over, +53.8 units.

A game this week that matched the criteria was New Orleans vs. Milwaukee. The Pelican are winless and were coming off an overtime game in which they scored just 83 points. Of course they bounced back against the Bucks with both teams scoring more than 113 points and easily covering the total of 204.5.

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