Jimmy Garoppolo can do no wrong. Not only is the guy handsome but he is a pretty good quarterback. In two starts for the 49ers, both wins, the former Tom Brady protégé threw for 293 yards and 334 yards, respectively.

The Jimmy G effect is real. San Francisco is favored for the first time this year over Tennessee. More than 80% of spread dollars are on the 3-10 Niners (-2) at home against a Titans team in playoff contention.

The hype continues to grow for one of the league’s most promising young quarterbacks. After winning his first two starts, Bovada.lv has offered a prop bet on the 49ers winning out.

Will Jimmy Garoppolo win all 5 starts to end 2017 regular season?

  • Yes +1500
  • No -3000

At +1500, the odds imply there is a 6.3% chance that Garoppolo starts his 49ers career 5-0. What do the numbers say? We simulated the rest of the season 10,000 times and here is San Francisco’s chance of winning their final three games.

The betting market sees the Niners as favorites over the Titans but the simulations prefer Tennessee (52.8%) on the road. Sunday’s matchup could be the team’s last chance to win in 2017 with increasingly difficult matchups in Week 16 and Week 17.

Based on the Bet Labs projections, there is a 2.06% chance of Jimmy G winning out. This means there is no value at +1500 odds. If you have an extra $3,000 lying around you could lay it to win $100 and come out ahead but where is the fun in that?

Jimmy G will stay handsome but he won’t win out, at least not this season.


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