What is the best part of the Super Bowl? The prop bets of course! Here are a few of our favorite Super Bowl 51 prop bets. Props are from Bovada, Bookmaker, BetOnline and Westgate
What will Luke Bryan be wearing when he starts singing the National Anthem?
- Blue Jeans -200
- Any other pants +150
Luke Bryan is country. Blue jeans are country. Google “Luke Bryan pants” and all you are going to see are skinny jeans. Even the ones that look like dress pants are just really dark blue jeans.
Will the opening kickoff result in a touchback?
- Yes -200
- No +160
Combined the Falcons Matt Bosher and the Patriots Stephen Gostkowski attempted 198 kickoffs during the regular season. Of those kickoffs, 40.4% were returned. The implied probability of a return (No +160) is 38.5%. There is value betting “No” on a touchback.
First Touchdown Scorer
LeGarrette Blount led the NFL in rushing touchdowns and the Falcons are 29th in defensive rushing DVOA. Blount isn’t the favorite to score the first touchdown but he probably should be.
Will either team score three straight times?
- Yes -190
- No +170
This happens more often than you think. In the playoffs this season, a team has scored three straight times in 8 of 10 games. The total for this game is the largest ever for a Super Bowl, points are expected to be scored, which increases the probability of one team scoring three straight times.
Will Malcolm Butler intercept a pass?
- Yes +250
- No -300
Butler had one of the most memorable interceptions in Super Bowl history. Yet, “No” is a heavy favorite. Butler is the best cornerback in the Patriots secondary and led the team interceptions but had just four picks this season (six in his career).
Will the Patriots convert a fourth-down attempt?
- Yes +135
- No -155
Bill Belichick isn’t afraid to be aggressive and Tom Brady is great in short yardage situations. If you like the Falcons to win the Super Bowl, this is a prop bet to consider. Atlanta winning would increase the likelihood of the Patriots attempting a fourth-down.
Will a 2-point conversion be successful in the game?
- Yes +175
- No -250
Combined the Patriots and Falcons were 3-for-8 on two-point conversions this season. Team’s don’t attempt very many 2-point conversions, teams kicked extra points on more than 91% of touchdowns. Plus not only do you need the Patriots or Falcons to try a 2-point conversion they also have to be successful. The implied probability is 71.4% that there won’t be a successful 2-point conversion.
Who will Donald Trump pick to win the game?
- Patriots 1/10
- Falcons 11/2
Brady and Donald Trump are buddies. In the President’s speech before inauguration he specifically mentioned Brady, who Trump said called to congratulate him. Trump is picking the Patriots.
It’s almost Super Sunday
Got an idea for a winning betting system?
Will any player leave the Super Bowl with a concussion?
- Yes +130
- No -160
There were 244 player concussions in 2016 per the NFL, down slightly from 2015 (275 concussions). Fewer concussions make “No” look appealing. Also, remember the hit Matt Moore took against the Steelers in the Wild Card round? Well, per the NFL the Dolphins didn’t follow strict concussion protocol. So even if a player does get a concussion in the Super Bowl, there is a chance the team won’t handle it correctly.
Will the word “Lacrosse” be said on TV during live broadcast?
- Yes -300
- No +200
Chris Hogan played four years of lacrosse at Penn State. He played one year of football at Monmouth. He went undrafted and was cut by four NFL teams. In the AFC title game he set a Patriots record for most receiving yards in a playoff game. Joe Buck and Troy Aikman won’t be able to say “lacrosse” fast enough when Hogan makes his first catch.
Will Roger Goodell avoid showing up to hand out the Lombardi Trophy?
- Yes +2500
- No -10000
Things might get awkward if the Patriots win. Goodell appeared to avoid going to New England during the playoffs when he opted to attend back-to-back games in Atlanta. However, despite any discomfort stemming from DeflateGate the commissioner said it would be an honor to hand Brady the trophy if the Patriots were to win. It would be great if Roger ducked the Pats again but the odd suggest it won’t happen. You have to lay $10,000 to win $100.