LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers swept the Indiana Pacers to advance to the second round of the playoffs. The Cavs will enjoy a few extra days off before the start of the conference semifinals. Does extra rest help in the NBA Playoffs?
Cleveland’s next opponent will be the winner of the Milwaukee-Toronto series, which is tied 2-2. Game 5 and Game 6 are scheduled for Monday and Thursday. A possible Game 7 would be on Saturday. It could be more than a week before the Cavs play again.
Will the extra rest help or hurt Cleveland? Using the Bet Labs software we can easily see that there is value in teams with extra days off.
The system improves dramatically if you look at just home teams.
Home teams that have had four or more days off have gone 87-50 (63.5%) ATS. Why would the extra rest help home teams but not road teams? The simplest explanation is that even with additional days off travel can disrupt a team’s routine. There is no substitute for sleeping in one’s own bed.
Cleveland will enjoy extra days to rest and prepare for their next game. With more than four days off before the start of the next series there will be value on the Cavs at home.
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