There is a lot to like about the Dodgers this year. Los Angeles pitching staff has the lowest ERA in baseball, the team has the second best run differential and according to FanGraphs is the most likely World Series champions. The only problem, the Dodgers struggle against lefties, especially on the road.
This is an issue that has dated back to last season. L.A. had the worst Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) rate vs. lefties but against righties they ranked second in the majors. The trend has continued in 2017. Against righties the Dodgers wRC+ is 118 (where 100 is league average) the 3rd best mark in baseball but the team’s wRC+ drops to 87 against left handed pitchers.
In the last two years the Dodgers are 88-60 (.595) straight-up against opponents with a right handed starter. Against lefties L.A. has gone 30-34 (.469) and is the least profitable moneyline team.
The Dodgers have been at their worst on the road against lefties in the last two years going 11-19 (.367). In this situation the team is -10.81 units, the least profitable in baseball.
Tonight the Dodgers will face Giants lefty Ty Blach in San Francisco. L.A. opened -155 but is currently -170 moneyline favorites. With the team’s recent struggles against lefties should you bet the Giants?
Giants vs. Dodgers
This Pro System pick is +192.8 units since 2005