DFS Ownership Projections

DFS Ownership Projections

An important key to success in daily fantasy is understanding player ownership. If you want to cash (or win) in large GPPs (guaranteed prize pools) you need the fantasy players that not only score a lot of points but also those that are low-owned. For example, in last year’s Week 9 NFL Millionaire Maker on DraftKings, Marcus Mariota was less than 2% owned but scored 36.3 points propelling his fantasy owner to victory.

FanDuel and DraftKings are no longer showing ownership percentages for players. Being able to accurately project ownership in the NFL will provide a huge edge over the competition.

To help you build a winning lineup we turn to our friends at Fantasy Labs. As part of their player models and NFL Matchups tool users can see projected player ownership. Here are three players you should consider rostering that will be low-owned.

Want more from Fantasy Labs? Check out their free Trends tool or sign up to use all of their premium tools (includes projected player ownership).

Jimmy Garoppolo: Projected Ownership 2-4%

I’m doubling down here. There is a Bet Labs Pro System trend that likes the Patriots to cover Sunday night against the Cardinals. If the New England bet cashes that means Tom Brady’s backup was at least serviceable. At $6,200 ($2,300 less than Aaron Rodgers on DraftKings), Garoppolo doesn’t need to be much more than average to return value. With Gronk and Julian Edelman catching passes Garoppolo could surprise in Week 1.

Eddie Lacy: Projected Ownership 2-4%

Eddie Lacy is no longer fat, thanks P90X! After a disappointing 2015 campaign the casual fan wants nothing to do with the Packers’ running back. That is a mistake. Green Bay is a six point favorite on the road against Jacksonville. The Pack should be up late which means extra touches for Lacy as they run out the clock. The now slim(mer) back is a good pivot off the high-priced ball carriers at the top of the slate.

Sammy Watkins: Projected Ownership 5-8%

When healthy, Watkins has the ability to be one of the best options in fantasy. His surgically repaired foot is ready to go for Week 1. This is great news for fantasy owners. Over the final six weeks of last season he averaged 9.5 targets, 5.8 receptions and 113.2 yards. In that same time frame, the Bills’ star receiver managed to find the end zone six times. Not only are you getting Watkins at a low ownership but he cost just $6,900, the 19th most expensive receiver on DraftKings in Week 1.

You do not gain a significant advantage over the field by rostering highly owned players. Finding low owned players that exceed expectations is how you cash in tournaments.

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