DFS Ownership Projections 09.29.16

DFS Ownership Projections

An important key to success in daily fantasy is understanding player ownership. If you want to cash (or win) in large GPPs (guaranteed prize pools) you need the fantasy players that not only score a lot of points but also those that are low-owned.

FanDuel and DraftKings are no longer showing ownership percentages for players. Being able to accurately project ownership in the NFL will provide a huge edge over the competition.

To help you build a winning lineup we turn to our friends at Fantasy Labs. As part of their player models and NFL Matchups tool users can see projected player ownership. Here are three players you should consider rostering that will be low-owned.

Want more from Fantasy Labs? Check out their free Trends tool or sign up to use all of their premium tools (includes projected player ownership).

Blake Bortles: Projected Ownership 0-1%

The preseason Bortles bandwagon is all but abandoned. The Jags quarterback has been downright awful through three weeks with more interceptions (six) than touchdowns (five). I know he has burned you in the past but this is the week to roster Bortles; at home against a Colts defense that ranks 29th in DVOA against the pass. If Bortles hits his ceiling (30+ fantasy points) you’ll rocket up the leaderboard with him owned in less than one percent of lineups.

C.J. Anderson: Projected Ownership 2-4%

Denver scored 29 points against Cincinnati last week but Anderson managed just 37 yards on 14 carries. It was a very disappointing effort for a running back that looked to be emerging as a star. Still, Anderson is the lead back in a run-heavy offense. Look for him to get closer to 20 touches like he saw in the first two weeks of the season against Tampa Bay – a team that has allowed the seventh most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

Julio Jones: Projected Ownership 2-4%

A big price tag ($9,200), an ankle injury and a matchup against the Carolina defense means Julio is going to go very low-owned. Plus, Atlanta’s top receiver caught one ball for 16 yards in the Falcons shootout with New Orleans on Monday night – the public is going to be off him. The ankle injury isn’t a concern as Julio is already practicing this week. While the Panthers do have a good defense, Julio caught 16 of 21 passes in two games against Carolina last year. If you can get one of the top five receivers at less than five percent ownership it is a plus EV (expected value) play.

 

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