For only the second time in the history of the AP Top 25, teams ranked No. 2, No. 3 and No. 4 all lost on the same day during the regular season. Week 11 in college football was nuts, here is your betting recap.
Road to Success
- Favorites went 30-25 (54.5%) ATS
- Road teams went 33-21 (61.1%) ATS
- Overs went 31-27 (53.4%)
- Betting against the public (<35% of tickets): 13-16 (44.8%) ATS
- Ranked teams getting <50% of the bets: 2-1 ATS
Biggest Money-line Upsets
Iowa (+1203) vs. Michigan
You'll be seeing a lot of this kick in the coming hours, days, months, years. https://t.co/qNp7YuUFtq
— Big Ten Network (@BigTenNetwork) November 13, 2016
Freshman kicker Keith Duncan made a 33-yard field goal as time expired and Iowa upended No. 3 Michigan 14-13. The loss might not hurt the Wolverines, if the team wins out it could still make the College Football Playoff.
Pittsburgh (+991) at Clemson
— Chat Sports (@ChatSports) November 13, 2016
Deshaun Watson threw three interceptions, Pitt stuffed Clemson on fourth down at midfield and Chris Blewitt hit a 48-yard field goal with six second remaining to upset the Tigers 43-42. It was Clemson’s first loss to an unranked opponent in five seasons and ended the team’s 21 game home winning streak.
Georgia Tech (+447) at Virginia Tech
— HokiesFB (@HokiesFB) November 9, 2016
The Hokies and their fan base were pumped for this game, the team entered with a chance to clinch the ACC’s Coastal Division. However, Georgia Tech’s backup quarterback Matthew Jordan rushed for 121 yards and two touchdowns leading the Yellow Jackets to a surprising 30-20 win. Virginia Tech committed four turnovers in the loss.
UL Monroe (+401) at Georgia State
Fans – THOMAS KOUFIE is the FIRST PLAYER in PROGRAM HISTORY with a 5 RUSHING TOUCHDOWN GAME!!
— ULM Warhawks (@ULMWarhawks) November 12, 2016
Running back Thomas Koufie carried the ball 31 times for 201 yards and five scores as the Warhawks of Louisiana-Monroe topped Georgia State 37-23. UL Monroe was a 12.5 point underdog in the game.
Washington vs. USC
USC 24, UW 13.
— USC Trojans (@USC_Athletics) November 13, 2016
Something had to give, the Huskies were undefeated and the Trojans were on a five game winning streak. USC got the better of Washington Saturday, Sam Darnold threw for 287 yards and two touchdowns in a 26-13 upset. The Men of Troy were +284 money-line underdogs. The loss puts Washington’s chance of reaching the College Football Playoff in doubt.
Trend Highlight – Road Dogs off Home Win
We talked about this Pro System in our Trend of the Week article and how it applied to the Washington/USC game. Road teams in conference games are often undervalued, this is especially true if that team is coming off a cover as a home favorite.
USC met all the qualifications and came through for us not only covering the spread but winning the game outright.
Betting road underdogs in conference games after a home cover has gone 152-94 (61.8%) ATS, +50.4 units all-time.
On Saturday, this system went 3-0-1 ATS.
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