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Each week we will provide trends for the top ten teams in college football. Some trends will be team specific and others situational. Our database goes back to 2005, the trends include all games in that time frame unless otherwise mentioned.
No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 15 Auburn
Other than Alabama’s perfect season, there isn’t much on the line in the Iron Bowl this season. Even if Auburn pulls the upset as big underdogs, the Tide can afford to lose one game and still make the playoffs. This is a game for pride; let’s hope for a good one.
No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 3 Michigan
Ohio State is a touchdown favorite at home against Michigan. If the Buckeyes win and Penn State loses Saturday, Urban Meyer’s team clinches the Big Ten East. If Michigan wins then the Wolverines win the East division outright. A loss would put each team’s playoff chances in serious jeopardy.
No. 4 Clemson vs. South Carolina
Two wins, that is all Clemson needs to clinch a spot in the College Football Playoff. There was an outside shot that the ACC would get two teams in but after Louisville’s loss to Houston, the Tigers are the conference’s only hope.
No. 5 Wisconsin vs. Minnesota
The Badgers are sizeable favorites against Minnesota at home. A win for Wisconsin clinches the West division and gives the team a chance of avenging a regular season loss to either Ohio State or Michigan in the Big Ten Championship game. Don’t count the Badgers out on making the playoffs.
No. 6 Washington at No. 22 Washington State
The Huskies are in a precarious position. As a one-loss Power 5 conference champion, Washington should be included in the playoff. However, a soft nonconference schedule and only one win against a Top 25 team puts the team’s resume into question. Washington needs to dominant in the Apple Cup and impress the committee in the Pac-12 Championship.
No. 7 Oklahoma – bye week
The Sooners are off this week after an impressive win against West Virginia. Oklahoma is still in the playoff picture. Bedlam will decide the Big 12 title and could also have playoff implications.
No. 8 Penn State vs. Michigan State
A win against Michigan State and a loss by Michigan gives Penn State the Big Ten East. Of course the Spartans won’t be pushovers. MSU almost topped Ohio State last week and was competitive against the Wolverines. The Nittany Lions can’t look past the Spartans.
There is a Pro System trend for this game that is 187-143 (56.7%) ATS
No. 9 Colorado vs. No. 21 Utah
If Colorado beats Utah, the Buffaloes win the Pac-12 South. The Buffs would need some help to make the playoff even if they won the conference championship. Last year Stanford finished on the outside the top four as a two-loss Pac-12 title winner.
No. 10 Oklahoma State – bye week
There are a slew of two-loss teams vying for the final spot in the playoff. The committee prefers to reward conference champions and Oklahoma State can claim the Big 12 title with a win against the Sooners in Bedlam. If the Cowboys win next week, the selection committee will face some difficult decisions.