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Each week we will provide trends for the top ten teams in college football. Some trends will be team specific and others situational. Our database goes back to 2005, the trends include all games in that time frame unless otherwise mentioned.
No. 1 Alabama vs. Mississippi State
Giant slayers? Mississippi State took down No. 4 Texas A&M last week, can the Bulldogs knock off the top ranked Tide? Doubtful. Alabama is a huge favorite and is unlikely to lose at home but covering the spread is a different story.
No. 2 Clemson vs. Pittsburgh
Clemson is 9-0 for the second straight season. The Tigers can clinch the ACC Atlantic with a win over Pitt. Deshaun Watson is dealing with a bruised should that kept him out of the second half of Clemson’s 54-0 rout of Syracuse. If the injury proves to be more significant all bets are off on the Tigers returning to the playoffs.
No. 3 Michigan at Iowa
Another game, another 50 point victory for Michigan. The Wolverines have now outscored their Big Ten opponents 171-10 in the first half. Two more games until we get Ohio State-Michigan in the season finale. Let’s hope that neither team falters before that matchup.
No. 4 Washington vs. USC
The Huskies have the second longest winning streak in the country behind Alabama. After routing Cal, a tough matchup with USC awaits but the Huskies are favored by more than a touchdown over the Men of Troy.
No. 5 Louisville vs. Wake Forest
Lamar Jackson had another Heisman performance in Louisville’s win over Boston College. Jackson threw for four touchdowns and rushed for three more scores. The Cardinals need style points (read: blowouts) to make a case for the playoffs, which means we should see more of the same from Jackson over the final three games of the season.
This game features a Pro System that is 149-94 (61.3%) ATS, +47.7 units.
No. 6 Ohio State at Maryland
The Buckeyes scored eight touchdowns (plus two field goals) and gained 590 yards of total offense last Saturday against a Nebraska defense that ranked in the top 25 in scoring and total defense. Ohio State shouldn’t have any trouble scoring against Maryland (64th in points/game allowed) but will they cover?
No. 7 Wisconsin vs. Illinois
The path to the Big Ten title game is set; all the Badgers need to do is win their next three games. Of course the Fighting Illini showed they aren’t pushovers with a win against Michigan State last week.
This game features a Pro System that is 424-312 (57.6%) ATS, +90.8 units.
No. 8 Auburn at Georgia
Auburn controls its own destiny, win out and the Tigers will go to the SEC championship. Two road games stand in the way, first this weekend against Georgia and then the season finale against Alabama. Auburn can’t get caught looking head or they might suffer the same fate as Texas A&M.
No. 9 Oklahoma vs. No. 25 Baylor
Another Big 12 title is within reach for Oklahoma. It won’t be easy, the final three games are against conference opponents that are or have been ranked recently.
No. 10 Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss
The Aggies playoff hopes are dashed. A disastrous loss in Starkville quickly ended any shot of finishing in the top four. However, a major bowl is still a possibility. The Aggies will host Ole Miss Saturday; the Rebels just lost starting quarterback Chad Kelly to a knee injury for the season.