The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors have met in the NBA Finals for a record three straight years. What are the odds we get a fourth installment?

The 2018 NBA title odds are available and to no one’s surprise the defending champions are -175 favorites to repeat. The Cavs are the second favorite at +450. It would seem that a fourth Finals matchup is inevitable. Don’t be so sure.

4th Consecutive Finals Rematch, Cavaliers vs. Warriors? (BetOnline)

  • Yes: +165
  • No: -190

When you remove the juice and calculate the implied probabilities, the odds suggest there is a 63.5% chance we get any other matchup besides Warriors-Cavs. What could prevent us from seeing a fourth consecutive Finals rematch?

The rest of the league is trying to get better and there are a handful of free agents (Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, Kyle Lowry, Gordon Hayward, Paul Millsap) that could make a contender a serious threat to the Warriors and Cavs. In the West, ESPN reports that the Rockets are targeting Chris Paul while the Celtics have been linked to Hayward. Paul George and Jimmy Butler are two All-Stars that could also switch teams this offseason in addition to a deep and talented draft class.

Golden State and Cleveland are on top but the NBA landscape changes quickly. In sports betting, past performance is not an indicator of future success. The Warriors and Cavs were the best teams in the league this year but it doesn’t mean they will be next season.

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