A Christmas Day NBA Trend so Big it Doesn’t Fit ‘Under’ the Tree

by John Ewing • December 18, 2017

The countdown to Christmas is almost complete. Kids and adults alike get excited by the prospect of waking up to unwrap the gifts that Santa brought. One present we already know about is the five-game NBA slate on Christmas Day. This holiday tradition features the league’s biggest stars. The festivities tip off with the Knicks […]

How to Fade the Public Using Spread Dollars in the NBA

by John Ewing • December 12, 2017

Fading square bettors is a profitable NBA strategy. Why does this work? Oddsmakers know which teams recreational gamblers will wager on, usually the league’s best (Warriors, Cavs, Spurs, Celtics) and favorites, and shade the lines toward them. When we talk about betting against the public we are often referring to the spread ticket percentage but […]

A 2nd Half NBA strategy every bettor should follow

by John Ewing • November 27, 2017

Question, during Thanksgiving did you limit yourself to just turkey and pumpkin pie? Of course not, you loaded your plate with mashed potatoes, dinner rolls, corn, stuffing, gravy and green bean casserole, not to mention all the delicious pies available on Turkey Day. So why do bettors stick to just the full game spread and […]

East no longer Western Conference’s little brother

by John Ewing • November 21, 2017

Eight years, that’s how long it has been since the Eastern Conference had a winning record against the West. The Western Conference has been better in head-to-head play in 17 of the last 18 seasons. The trend was expected to continue in 2017-18 with 22 of the league’s 30 best players out West according to […]

Two trends that point to fading the Celtics

by John Ewing • November 19, 2017

15 and counting, the Celtics are off to the best start in franchise history through 17 games. Boston is getting W’s on the court and at the ticket window. The C’s (14-2-1 ATS) are the most profitable team against-the-spread to start 2017. On Monday night, Boston will try to extend its winning streak to 16 […]

Third time is a charm, fade the Celtics on Saturday

by John Ewing • November 17, 2017

Give a casual bettor the option of wagering on a team with a winning record or a team with a losing record and they’ll put their money on the good team every time. Since 2005, there have been 6,867 games in the NBA featuring a team with a winning record against a below .500 squad. […]

Warriors will end Celtics ATS Streak

by John Ewing • November 15, 2017

You know what is fun? Good basketball. On Thursday night, the NBA’s best will go head-to-head. The Boston Celtics (13-2) will host the Golden State Warriors (11-3) in TD Garden. The Celtics have won 13 straight and are off to a historic start against-the-spread. In a potential NBA Finals preview, look for the Warriors to […]

Celtics best ATS team EVER (through 14 games), time to fade Boston?

by John Ewing • November 13, 2017

Update: 11/14/17 Boston opened as 7-point favorites at Brooklyn, more than 70% of spread bets are on the Celtics. Fade Brad Stevens’ team. Despite injuries (Gordon Hayward – ankle, Kyrie Irving – facial fracture, Al Horford – concussion) and a young roster, the Celtics extended their winning streak to 12 games with a 95-94 win […]

Warriors lost Game 1, Bet Golden State 1st Half

by John Ewing • October 20, 2017

The Golden State Warriors squandered a 17-point lead and lost their season opener to the Houston Rockets 122-121. It was a deflating start to a night that began with the team getting their rings and unveiling the 2016-17 championship banner. HOLYDurant at the buzzer……NO GOODJust another night in the NBA. — Rob Perez (@World_Wide_Wob) […]

Can bettors trust big NBA favorites early in the season?

by John Ewing • October 19, 2017

Night three in the 2017-18 NBA season features two games with big favorites. The Toronto Raptors are 12.5-point favorites at home against the Chicago Bulls (lowest win total in the league) and the Oklahoma City Thunder, in Carmelo Anthony’s first game against his old team, are 12-point favorites over the New York Knicks. Clearly, the […]