Will Tom Brady and the New England Patriots pull of a perfect 19-0 season? That was a question many fans in Foxborough were asking before the season began. Kansas City end the speculation early beating the defending champions soundly in Week 1. Perfection is no longer a possibility but can the Patriots go 18-1 and win the Super Bowl?
5Dimes is offering this prop bet that only diehard Pats fans would make. At +2000 odds, New England would need to win every remaining regular season game and repeat as Super Bowl champions 4.8% of the time.
According to our numbers, Brady and Belichick have a 1.5% chance of going 15-1. In the 10,000 simulations, only 29 times (0.29%) are the Patriots able to go 18-1 and win the title. That means there is a 99.71% chance they lose at least once more. There is value betting that New England loses or ties any remaining game but who wants to wager $5,000 to win $100.
A better bet would be on the Pats (-640) to win the AFC East. Before the season began you had to lay $1,400 to win $100 that they would win the division for a ninth straight year. The odds have been discounted significantly after one bad performance. Don’t overreact, Brady and Belichick are still the class of the division.
|New England Patriots||After 1 Loss|
|Most Likely Record||12-4|
|Win Super Bowl||25.6%|
2017 NFL Pro Systems
NFL Picks are 5-1, +3.71 units to start the season