On the night, New England raised its fifth championship banner the Kansas City Chiefs hammered the reigning champs 42-27. The 42 points was the most allowed in the Belichick-era. After talk of going 19-0, the Pats now need to avoid starting 0-2. Can New England bounce back in Week 2 against the Saints? Yes, Brady is great after a loss.
Following a regular season loss, Tom Brady led Patriots teams are 33-6 straight-up. New England has only lost back-to-back games twice in the last four years.
The Pats burned bettors on Thursday night. More than 60% of spread bets were on Brady and Belichick as 8-point favorites. Thinking about fading New England in Week 2? Betting Brady after a loss has been highly profitable.
|After a Loss||ATS Record||ROI||Units|
|As favorite next week||19-10||30.2%||+8.77|
|As underdog (or pick'em) next week||10-0||98.2%||+9.82|
|At home next week||10-7||16.4%||+2.79|
|On road next week||19-3||71.8%||+15.8|
|High scoring game (total 45 or greater)||19-6||50.6%||+12.66|
|Getting 50% or more of bets||21-9||39.1%||+11.72|
The look ahead line for Week 2 is Patriots -6.5 at New Orleans (Cantor). Every trend is pointing to betting Brady after a loss. The Pats are even great bets when they fail to cover the previous game. Brady is 43-26 (62.3%) ATS, +16.45 units when coming up short against the spread.
Will you bet the Patriots in Week 2?
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