As the Action Network newsletter readers know, Saturdays are for the bets. The college football bowl season kicks off tomorrow and, with so many bowls, you may need a little help handicapping all the action. That’s why we’ve provided sharp betting strategies, confidence pool rankings and analysis for each bowl game.
If that weren’t enough, I have one more tip to make your bowl season merry. Fade Lee Corso. This is a strategy we discussed before the football season began and one that proves profitable during bowl games.
Lee Corso is the star of ESPN’s “College GameDay.” Fans love the former coach’s headgear picks. The 82-year-old is an entertaining broadcaster but is often short on actionable analysis. My theory, Corso represents the public – bettors that are seduced by the names on a uniform and overvalue a program’s ranking. We bet against the public, which means we should bet against Corso.
To test this theory, I analyzed Corso’s headgear picks for the last five seasons using the plays catalogued by GameDayCole. Bettors that faded the mascot-wearing predictor went 53-31-2 (63.1%) ATS. Here is how Corso’s picks have performed in bowl games since 2008.
In bowl games, Corso is 33-37 straight-up and 29-40-1 (42%) ATS. A good betting system is consistent from year to year. From 2008 to 2011, fading Corso went 18-13-1 (58.1%) ATS and from 2012 to 2016 it was 22-16 (57.9%) ATS.
Corso and the GameDay crew made an appearance on Jimmy Kimmel Live on Monday. When asked who he likes in the College Football Playoff, Corso said Georgia and Alabama. You know what to do.
Get Picks for all the Bowl Games
Our Pro Systems are 176-88-4 (66.7%) ATS since 2005 in bowl season